I will be moderating a panel at Bloomberg on March 24 on the topic: Issues in Projecting Forward Home Prices. While there are often many comments about the direction of home prices over the next 12 months, this panel will discuss the tools that can be used for, and the potential issues involved with, projecting home prices over a 2-5 year horizon.
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Terry Loebs, from MacroMarkets, will speak on the work his firm has done in systematically surveying home price expectations.
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I will speak in my capacity as CME market maker on how CME Home Price futures may be used to narrow the range of home price expectations
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John Sim, JPMorgan, will review his firm’s work in modelling forward home prices to a variety of scenarios, and
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Laurie Goodman, Amherst Securities will give her perspective on how the many non-modelable parts of the housing finance industry (e.g. GSE reform, modification programs, revival of an RMBS new-issue market) might influence such views.
The seminar will start at 5:30 with short presentations and then Q&A from the moderator and the audience. If there are aspects of this topic that you think the panel should incorporate into their presentations, or questions that you like to have asked, please feel free to share them with me at johnhdolan@homepricefutures.com.
There will be a reception following the presentations that will start at 7 PM.
Bloomberg is located at 731 Lexington Ave in NYC. Please contact your Bloomberg representative, or sign up on Bloomberg to save a spot.